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Team Select Home Care says its CareSight AI platform now covers all of its patients through respiratory, cardiac and infection-risk models. The company reported a 14.9% year-over-year drop in hospitalization rates from April through August 2026, based on company data; independent verification and further details about the comparison were not provided in the report.
Team Select Home Care says its predictive AI platform, CareSight, now covers 100% of its patient census and that its hospitalization rate fell 14.9% year over year from April through August 2026. The Phoenix-based provider shared the outcome figure with Home Health Care News; it is company-reported data, and the report does not describe an independent evaluation.
CareSight uses more than a decade of Team Select patient records to identify potential signs of clinical decline. The platform monitors up to eight vital signs in real time alongside nurse notes and changes in a patient’s condition, according to the company. It is intended to flag trends for clinicians to assess, rather than replace their care decisions.
Team Select built the system in stages. It first developed a model for respiratory patients, then added a cardiac model and an infection-detection model. The respiratory model took about three years to develop, President and CEO Fred Johnson told Home Health Care News. The cardiac model took six months, and the infection model took 90 days, as the company applied data preparation and experience from earlier versions.
Johnson said the first version generated too many false alerts, including alerts that treated a reading as abnormal even when it was typical for a particular patient. Team Select added patient-specific historical baselines to help check alerts against each person’s usual readings. The three models now collectively cover the company’s full census, according to the report.
AI Data Shapes Home-Care Contracts
The reported decline could matter to patients and payers because avoiding hospitalization is a stated goal of home care for people with complex medical needs. Team Select serves medically complex children and seniors at home and operates in 16 states. If the reported change is sustained and supported by comparable data, it could help the provider make a case for contracts that reward outcomes rather than paying only for services delivered.
Johnson said Team Select plans to use its hospitalization data in discussions with payers and to expand value-based contracts. Under such arrangements, payments can be linked to specified measures or outcomes. The company is also redeveloping payer scorecards to show measures including hospitalization and emergency-department visit ratios for a payer’s patients, along with Net Promoter Scores and industry comparisons.
The report does not establish that CareSight alone caused the decline or that the results will hold across other providers. Still, it describes how a home-care company is using internal clinical data both to guide alerts and to support negotiations at a time when Johnson said fee-for-service rate increases can be difficult to secure.
From Respiratory Pilot to Full Census
Team Select launched CareSight in 2025, drawing on its own patient records. The initial respiratory model did not apply across all diagnoses, Johnson said. Company leaders selected respiratory care as a starting point because it was an area where Team Select had experience caring for high-acuity patients and where its analysis identified a significant hospitalization concern.
After adding the cardiac model, the company said the two models covered 65% of its patients. It then developed an infection model after identifying infections as a significant source of hospitalizations in its data. Team Select’s progress also depended on refining how the system handled alerts, including comparing readings with individual patient histories to reduce false positives that could add work for clinicians.
Before CareSight, a seven-state Medicaid claims study commissioned by Team Select put its monthly 30-day hospitalization rate at 3% to 8%, Johnson told Home Health Care News, compared with an industry average of 10% to 20% per month. Those figures were presented by the company’s CEO; the report does not provide the study itself or further details on how the comparison groups were defined.
“I knew that if we could do this, not only would it be a long-lasting competitive advantage … [it] would significantly decrease those hospitalizations even further.”
— Fred Johnson, Team Select president and CEO, speaking to Home Health Care News
Limits of the Five-Month Comparison
The 14.9% figure comes from Team Select and compares April through August 2026 with the same months in 2025. The report does not give the underlying hospitalization counts, patient totals, statistical methods or a breakdown by CareSight model. It also does not say whether the patient mix or other care practices changed between the periods.
It is therefore unclear how much of the reported decrease can be attributed to CareSight, whether the result is statistically significant, or whether it will continue over a longer period. The report also does not provide payer-level findings from the proposed scorecards or identify signed value-based contracts tied to the new data.
A Fourth Model and Payer Talks
Team Select is developing a fourth CareSight model focused on diabetes, Johnson told Home Health Care News. The report does not give a launch date or say how the model will be validated before use.
The provider also expects to use its outcome data in payer discussions and is rebuilding scorecards that could compare results for a payer’s patients with industry averages. The next milestones to watch are whether Team Select releases longer-term or more detailed results, how it defines and measures the scorecard comparisons, and whether payers enter contracts that tie payment to hospitalization or total-cost-of-care outcomes.
Key Questions
What is CareSight AI?
CareSight AI is Team Select Home Care’s predictive platform, built using more than a decade of company patient records. It monitors up to eight vital signs, nurse notes and changes in condition to flag potential clinical trends for clinicians.
What does Team Select say happened to hospitalizations?
The company reported a 14.9% year-over-year drop in its hospitalization rate for April through August 2026, compared with the same months in 2025. The figure is based on company data shared with Home Health Care News.
Does the report prove CareSight caused the decrease?
No. The report presents a before-and-after comparison from Team Select but does not describe an independent assessment or establish that the AI platform alone caused the change. Details such as underlying counts, patient mix and statistical methods were not provided.
Who does Team Select serve?
Team Select Home Care serves medically complex children and seniors in the home and operates in 16 states, according to the source report.
What is the company planning next?
Team Select is building a fourth model focused on diabetes and plans to use CareSight-related measures in payer discussions. Johnson also said the company is redeveloping payer scorecards; the report does not give a timeline for either effort.
Source: rss
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